Thursday, February 10, 2005

Clinton Theories

Myrna Blyth posted a very interesting Hillary Clinton article at National Review online this morning. Blyth wonders aloud if Hill might dump Bill before her presidential run. She theorizes,

"But, of course, her greatest problem remains, not merely moderating her current
views, but distancing herself her Hill-and-Bill past. Women, who she would have
to win decisively, might find the historic opportunity to help elect the first
woman president quite appealing. But not if that means having Bill back in the
White House, even if he's merely hanging out in an office in the East Wing."

This is nothing more than pure gossip and fun, but it does exemplify how cynical some of us on the right can be when it comes to the Clintons. Hillary is a shrewd planner (though she doesn't strike me as quick on her feet) and Blythe also discusses her ability to "evolve." Personally, I don't think she would dump Bill (but not because of her love for him). She's calculated that she needs him on board for some reason.

There are other rumors circulating that Bill Clinton may take over Kofi Annan's job and head up the United Nations starting in 2006. Check out this Washington Times piece from last October. Last week, Annan appointed Clinton to be the U.N. envoy for Asian tsunami relief, so he's got his foot in the door.

I actually think that if Bill takes the U.N. Secretary General's post next year, it would damage Hillary's chance at becoming president (more on that in a minute). Clinton is a limelight addict, and for the first four years of George W. Bush's presidency, Clinton rarely went a day or two without shoe-horning himself into the day's events by commenting to some fawning reporter. So I expect him to go full throttle for Annan's job. I'm convinced (as others are) that he wants to be back on the world stage.

The reason why I think Bill-as-U.N.-Secretary-General hurts the Hillary-for-President drive is because of how much motivation it would bring to the Republican base, both in the 2006 mid-terms and the 2008 presidential election. The Clintons are lightning rods for conservatives. The prospect of the two of them running the world would fire up the conservative base beyond belief. I'm sure we'll have some fun over the coming months and years seeing how this all plays out.
Being a lightening rod is not the help you might think. Afterall George W. Bush was a lightening rod for the Democrats and what did it do to help them? The answer is to put forth a candidate with charm and charisma but with a good message. While the Republicans should attack Hillary they need to be careful not to repeat the Democrats mistakes in the 2004 election. I went to a craft show last summer which was a fund raiser for the Democrats. At this show the amount of anti-Bush material was astounding....anti-Bush tee shirts etc. On one table there was about 2 square feet alocated to John Kerry buttons while hundreds of square feet were touting anti-Bush the election for the Democrats was clear....get rid of Bush. It didn't matter who their candidate was and it turned out that candidate did not have charm, charisma or a message. The Republicans must avoid the same mistake.
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